Venture Reciprocity, Measured
In 2024 I argued that equity makes venture returns unpredictable on two vectors, value and time, and that founders pay for it. A new study of 248,454 venture-backed founders finally puts numbers on both.
Research and tools for the next generation of venture builders, investors, and founders.
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In 2024 I argued that equity makes venture returns unpredictable on two vectors, value and time, and that founders pay for it. A new study of 248,454 venture-backed founders finally puts numbers on both.
Follow the money to find out who will hold venture capital's empty bucket.
What Kauffman saw in 2012 and the load-bearing element nearly every diagnosis still misses.
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Why the one gauge that moved this quarter is a better price on a loss, not the end of one, especially for the 2021 and 2022 vintages
PitchBook's Q2 2026 Global VC First Look shows a market splitting in two: record capital deployed and record exit value at the top, and fundraising at a decade low underneath, all while early-stage investing is growing.
What Venture Capital's Continuation Fund Boom is Actually Measuring
AngelList just published the most comprehensive fund performance data available for emerging managers. The numbers confirm what many of us have been talking about for years, and they point toward something better.
Everything you need to know about the VC industry for 2026
The venture capital industry has built an extraordinarily sophisticated machine for deploying capital into private markets. It has built almost nothing to get that capital back out.