Newest first

Publications

Grid of 100 squares: 81 grey for founding teams wiped out, 7 red for founders who left before exit, 12 navy for founders paid at exit, beside the headline 88%.
Venture Capital

Venture Reciprocity, Measured

In 2024 I argued that equity makes venture returns unpredictable on two vectors, value and time, and that founders pay for it. A new study of 248,454 venture-backed founders finally puts numbers on both.

Oct 30, 2026 9 min read JOHN COWAN
The Secondary Discount, Decoded
Market Data Members

The Secondary Discount, Decoded

Why the one gauge that moved this quarter is a better price on a loss, not the end of one, especially for the 2021 and 2022 vintages

Aug 3, 2026 5 min read JOHN COWAN

Sort by categories

Browse the research archive by topic.

Subscribe for Free